![]() Sun-kissed Michelle Keegan relaxes in a bikini as she reads the book for her upcoming Netflix thriller Fool Me Once after she was seen filming Love Island viewers reveal they have already picked their winners following explosive showdown between two contestantsĭame Helen Mirren, 77, shows off her sleek blonde hair while wearing a glamorous black dress to the Golda premiere at the Berlin Film Festival Hailey Bieber flashes her toned pins in a black mini as she arrives with husband Justin at the star-studded Moncler Genius LFW showįrom the stunning Norwegian Fjords to historic European cities and the sun-kissed Caribbean, there are so many incredible places to visit and exciting things to do on a P&O Cruises holiday.Ĭelebrity offspring Iris Law and Lennon Gallagher walk for Burberry in its London Fashion Week show amid ongoing 'nepo baby' row and they head to Mexico for luxury vacation White Lotus star Lukas Gage, 27, sparks up romance with Kim Kardashian's hair stylist Chris Appleton, 39. you don’t get better after it.Heartwarming moment Ed Sheeran performs for sick children during an impromptu concert at a Queensland hospital while on tour in Australia Still, he will almost certainly be worse than he was in 2022, as the whole point of a career-best is. If he has that exact year in 2023 for the Yankees he will almost certainly end up an MVP finalist and be worth the big deal he signed over the winter. ![]() Judge’s projected 171 wRC+ would have made him the fourth-best hitter in baseball last year and trail just Ruth and Bonds in the 60 homer club’s follow-up campaigns. There are caveats to all these metrics, of course, but so much of that number depends on what baseball is actually used during Yankee games, as well as how much if at all Judge can take advantage of the new Rogers Centre dimensions during reduced divisional play. This class also, on average, hit 17.4 fewer home runs than in their best season, and Judge is actually projected to hit that rate per Depth Charts, with 45 long balls. I don’t think Judge, even after 2022, gets enough credit for being as complete a hitter as he is - for example, he’s cut down on his strikeout rate in three straight seasons before holding steady in his record-setting campaign last year - while also riding a three-year streak of walking more each season. When I first started thinking about this post, my initial thought was that everyone would see a bump in walk rate and a drop in strikeout rate, as pitchers attempted to work around a guy who just made mincemeat of his opponents a year ago.įor what it’s worth, FanGraphs projections have Judge striking out at slightly higher rates this year, which I might actually push back on. ![]() I think we all acknowledge that Judge will hit fewer home runs and be somewhat worse than he was last year, but the question of how worse likely rests on those plate discipline numbers. Judge is projected, depending on your preferred system, to be about 30-40 points of wRC+ worse in 2023 than his 207 mark last year, which would be on the high end of this club of players. ![]() Not surprisingly, everyone gets a little bit worse (except for Barry Bonds, of course). For this exercise, let’s look at the season immediately following their career high in HR - THE Year, then The Year After: Perhaps the only guys we can reasonably compare Judge to are the other members of the exclusive 60 home run club, the other five players who have had the power surge that Judge posted.īarry Bonds, Babe Ruth, Mark McGwire, Sammy Sosa and Roger Maris are the only people who know what it’s like to club at least 60 home runs and then have to come back the next year with those expectations. There are so few seasons to compare Judge to - every year MLB might see one or two eight-win players, but only an 11-win every decade or so. Leaving aside the matter of award races, since so much of that depends on what Shohei Ohtani does anyway, what can we expect from Aaron Judge’s own output now that he’s recognized as the best hitter in the game? Coming off one of the great seasons we’re ever going to see, even a “conventional” MVP level season will be a step down. ![]() In some ways, Aaron Judge can’t win in 2023. ![]()
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